The featured action of the crude oil complex continues to be the Brent-WTI spread, which has narrowed by over $8.00 in the past week. The high refinery run rate and the expected impact of various pipeline rationalizations is helping WTI’s relative to a large degree.… Read more
Energy OverView December 12, 2013
The weekly inventory report lit up the board, yesterday, with several outlier data points: Crude oil inventories fell a remarkable 10.6 million barrels; imports of crude oil fell to 6.8 million bpd, the lowest since 2000; production of distillate fuels rose to 5.3 million bpd; and refiners processed 16.1 million bpd, running at 92.7% of capacity, which was the highest since the EIA began tracking data in 1982.… Read more
Energy OverView December 11, 2013
WTI oil prices are slightly lower this morning, despite another sizeable decline in US crude oil inventories reported by the API last night. The decline was driven by a rise in refining activity to 92.7% and the annual year-end destocking phenomenon, which is an ad valorem tax avoidance regime.… Read more
Energy OverView December 10, 2013
TI oil prices have been surging, especially relative to Brent. WTI prices have tacked on another dollar in overnight trading, spiking above $98 to as high as $98.74. The Keystone pipeline situation continues to play a role with its daily announcements.… Read more
Energy OverView December 9, 2013
Oil prices continue to be supported, holding on to gains from the past week. The economic data have certainly been supportive, whether it has been from the surge in global manufacturing services readings, the improved Q3 GDP reading, or Friday’s employment report.… Read more
Energy OverView December 6, 2013
Overall, WTI oil prices are holding to their gains from the week. Part of the rally was due to the TransCanada’s announcement that the southern leg of the Keystone pipeline would begin operations on January 3rd. That news has changed, however, with the company now saying operations will not begin until mid-January, and expectations have been further tempered by the revelation that its capacity will not ramp up to even 500k bpd until mid-year 2014.… Read more
Energy OverView December 5, 2013
The Brent-WTI spread has whipped around so much, lately, that it may be the latest “safe” spread trade to take on the “widow maker” moniker. Yesterday, it narrowed by more than $2.00 per barrel, feeding off the weekly US inventory report, which showed a 5.6 million barrel decline.… Read more
Energy OverView December 4, 2013
WTI oil prices spiked, yesterday, on a delayed reaction to the news that the Keystone pipeline’s southern leg will begin carrying 700k bpd from Cushing to the Gulf, starting January 3rd. Prices rose further in early-evening trading, on a report from the API that crude oil inventories plunged 12 million barrels for the week.… Read more
Energy Overview December 3, 2013
Oil prices got a lift, yesterday, not just from the solid verdict on global manufacturing, but also from some geopolitical developments that raised everyone’s antennae over energy security. In Ukraine, the protests against the government’s rejection various deals with Europe, preferring the embrace of the Russian Bear (a.k.a.… Read more
Energy OverView December 2, 2013
Crude oil prices remain listless, hovering near $93 for WTI, and below $110 for Brent. There was another flare-up in Libya, late last week, which lent support to prices, but it seemed to do more to halt the renewed slide rather than stoke a reversal.… Read more