Energy OverView January 5, 2011

Iran dominated yesterday’s session yesterday with increasing bluster about closing the Strait of Hormuz, and warning the US not to send another aircraft carrier in the Persian Gulf. As we have been saying, we see little for them to gain by taking this all the way to a martial conflict with the US and its allies.… Read more

Energy OverView January 4, 2011

The market came very close yesterday to breaking above the recent high of 103.37, as hopeful economic data and concern about Iran’s intentions led shorts to prudently cover. Certainly understandable. Participants have seen this before and no one wants to get run over by a move propelled by emotion.… Read more

Energy OverView January 3, 2012

Crude oil moved to the highest levels in a week as an apparent assurance by Iran that a closure of the Strait of Hormuz was not imminent was offset by their test launch of a missile in the area. Participants clearly do not want to wager that an Iranian epiphany is underway.… Read more

Energy OverView 2012 Preview

At the beginning of 2011, the US economy was beginning to show some signs of revival. But the staggering effects of the economic duress consequent to the previous two year’s turbulence in the housing market, only allowed for output growth in 2010 of 2.8%.… Read more

Energy Overview December 29, 2011

A move below 100.00, suggests that, for the moment anyway, market participants are taking Iran’s aggressive verbiage is so much bluster. Still, 100.00 continues to be pressed. No wonder that economists are predicting a 2012 average of 100.00-120.00 for WTI. The fulcrum of the oil price debate is divided between political and economics.… Read more