August crude oil prices meandered over familiar territory yesterday, unable to find direction with a dearth of fresh news from Greece or the G-20. The market did receive some support on hopes that central banks are closer to injecting more monetary stimulus, which was also reflected in optimism in the equity markets and a 0.7% decline in the US dollar.… Read more
Energy OverView June 19, 2012
According to a draft communique prepared for the G-20 summit, Europe would take, “all necessary policy measures” to resolve its crisis. Hollow words that have been heard before, and a “grand bargain” remains elusive. Similarly, talks in Moscow between the West and their Iranian antagonists over the latter’s nuclear program appear no closer to resolution either.… Read more
Energy OverView June 18, 2012
The sum and substance of yesterday’s Greek elections is exactly nothing, as the markets’ quick rejection clearly shows. The first announcements from Athens set off a gap higher opening last night, but the surrender of positive territory began in the first hour of trading in last night’s Asian session.… Read more
Energy OverView June 15, 2012
WTI keeps covering the same ground with a slightly upward cant, suggesting that participants are establishing defenses, awaiting the outcome of the Greek elections on Sunday. The sum and substance of it all is how will the outcome drive aggregate demand.… Read more
Energy OverView June 14, 2012
Participants in all financial markets will be chewing their nails to the quick, waiting for the other shoe to drop; or not. What will the Greek electorate do? This appears to be the most pressing issue for what it implies for the future of the EU as a whole.… Read more
Energy OverView June 13, 2012
Crude oil traded in a range yesterday that made it look like the Spanish bailout did not even occur. At this point it is extremely uncertain what it will take for the EU to regain the market’s confidence that it can control events.… Read more
Energy OverView June 12, 2012
Yesterday was a classic. A gap higher opening on important news, then a new low for the two-month move down from 110.00. The statement was clear. Market participants emphatically rejected the Spanish bank deal, engineered over the weekend. And why not?… Read more
Energy OverView June 11, 2012
July crude oil traded in negative territory throughout Friday’s session but managed to recoup a large portion of its early deficit by the close. Early weakness in the market appeared to come from uncertainty surrounding the European debt situation and ideas that crude oil supplies could be running ahead of demand.… Read more
Energy OverView June 8, 2012
Chairman Bernanke’s wet blanket testimony yesterday, led market participants who were harboring hopes of steadying demand in an about face across most asset classes. The festering crisis in Europe has gloom over the markets as well as officialdom looks no closer to resolution.… Read more
Energy OverView June 7, 2012
Ho-ray for China. Crude oil prices were pressing session lows coming out of the European session when the Chinese central bank announced a cut to 1-year lending rates of 25 basis points. Within seconds the market reversed to new highs. This move has apparently allayed participants’ fears of crumbling of global energy demand consequent to the EU’s conundrum.… Read more