Energy OverView April 15, 2014

WTI crude oil prices are lower this morning, after losing substantial ground to Brent crude oil prices, yesterday. Brent caught the flight-to-safety trade on rising tensions in the Ukraine. The Russian fly-by or buzzing of a US naval ship in the Black Sea introduced a new aspect to the Russian supply fear premium.… Read more

Energy OverView April 9, 2014

There were additional significant gains for the crude oil market, yesterday, and the source of the strength was difficult to discern. The riots in Ukraine seemed to add to the geopolitical calculus. Of all the levers Russia can and will pull in this situation, a disruption in their crude oil or refined product exports does not seem likely.… Read more

Energy OverView April 4, 2014

Crude oil prices snapped back higher, yesterday, and more gains have been achieved overnight. There was a good amount of selling on news that the Libyan situation had been or would be resolved in short order. That is proving to be fanciful thinking.… Read more

Energy OverView April 1, 2014

Crude oil prices are slightly lower, due mostly to a further decline in a measure of China’s manufacturing sector. The HSBC manufacturing PMI for March fell to an 18-month low of 48. As we like to say, China is the swing-demand center these days, and their data count for a lot.… Read more

Crude oil prices are slightly lower, due mostly to a further decline in a measure of China’s manufacturing sector. The HSBC manufacturing PMI for March fell to an 18-month low of 48. As we like to say, China is the swing-demand center these days, and their data count for a lot.… Read more

Energy OverView March 28, 2014

espite a large reported increase in overall oil inventories, oil prices were higher, yesterday. Those gains are being maintained this morning, as geopolitical tensions and supply issues that never seem to fully recede support prices. The Houston Ship Channel oil spill may have more of an impact on inventories in the very short-term, but it still represents a bullish element.… Read more

Energy OverView March 26, 2014

WTI oil prices continue to flirt with the $100 level. The Houston Ship Channel saga both boosted prices and dragged them down, as the situation waxed and waned, yesterday. At one point, the Coast Guard sounded a lot more like the EPA than the maritime police in suggesting its overarching concern about the state of the oil spill, at the expense of shipping interests.… Read more

Energy OverView March 25, 2014

WTI oil prices held onto small gains, yesterday, and they are flirting with the $100 barrel level this morning. The Houston ship channel incident has impacted ExxonMobil’s Baytown refinery. A Reuters’s story quoted one refinery employee based at the Houston Ship Channel as saying they were “toast” due to the shipping disruption.… Read more

Energy OverView March 24, 2014

Crude oil prices are higher this morning, despite tepid PMI manufacturing data out of China and Europe. The Houston Ship Channel remains closed, after a barge collision caused a fuel spill of some magnitude. The closure could persist all week, so it may prove supportive for prices, as crude oil deliveries will be hampered.… Read more