After a series of refinery explosions drove refined product prices higher last week, the Iran nuclear accord is certainly welcome news for consumers. Of course, the deal does throw a switch, allowing Iran to resume full exports, but more of its oil should hit the market, if we understand the easing of the insurance restrictions correctly.… Read more
Energy OverView November 22, 2013
Oil prices snapped back, yesterday, garnering continued strength from refinery snags and low distillate fuel inventories in the US and Europe, as we head into the peak fuel period. The latest refinery issue was reported out of Port Arthur, Texas, where Motiva’s 88k bpd gasoline cracker was reported down for maintenance.… Read more
Energy OverView November 21, 2013
The oil market is carefully monitoring the Iran nuclear negotiations, registering some disappointment, in the form of a rebound, over comments by US officials that a deal would be “very hard” to get this week, which echoed President Obama’s recent comments, as well.… Read more
Energy OverView November 20, 2013
Energy prices were headed lower, yesterday, before the sell-off was derailed by a reported explosion at Total’s large Antwerp refinery. The explosion at the 360,000 bpd killed a worker. Boiling oil remains a very dangerous business. Operations at the refinery have returned to normal except for the gasoline unit, which remains affected.… Read more
Energy OverView November 19, 2013
Crude oil prices are falling, again, furthering losses from yesterday, which saw a failed rally attempt back above $94 per barrel. The still front-month December WTI price has fallen below 93, eyeing keep support at $92. Chevron’s large refinery in Pascagoula, Mississippi refinery was reported to be operating normally, after a fire on Friday that killed a worker.… Read more
Energy OverView November 15, 2013
The joy of drivers around the US at the soothing sight of falling pump prices may prove short-lived. The weekly inventory report showed another decline in gasoline stores, and the refinery run rate is remaining stubbornly below 90%, at 88%. There was a rise in the overall utilization rate, which should continue, but things are getting somewhat tight.… Read more
Energy OverView November 14, 2013
The big news, yesterday, was that the US domestic crude oil production exceeded imports in October for the first time in nearly twenty years. Production hit 7.7 million barrels per day, and imports averaged 7.6 million bpd. In terms of historical perspective, the output would match the level seen in 1995.… Read more
Energy OverView November 12, 2013
A strong and clearly identifiable uptrend is building, with a series of higher lows and mostly higher highs each day, since the key reversal day from Tuesday. Prices are above the 13-day EMA at 3.593, which is support, and next overhead resistance is seen at 3.65 and 3.67.… Read more
Energy OverView November 11, 2013
WTI oil prices are lower this morning, after rallying modestly on Friday. The focus was front-and-center on the Iranian nuclear talks, which looked good on Friday, bad on Saturday, and better this morning. There is all kinds of conflicting reportage around the proceedings.… Read more
Energy OverView November 8, 2013
Oil prices continue their week-long fall, and overnight WTI prices fell below $94 and Brent fell below $103. The breaches come despite a fairly supportive weekly inventory report for WTI and smaller-than-expected North Sea loadings for November. Today, the intense focus will be on the Iran nuclear talks, which are seeing terrific progress, according to reports.… Read more